Week 14 League Update

Leaders Gain Separation; Possums Finally Cool; Thunderwolves Rebound

CP Legion (8-3-2) vs.  JK Lannisters (9-3-1)

The Legion and Lannisters have battled for several years.  Chris has been at or near the top of the league for years, but the Lannisters have foiled his championship ambitions in two of the last three seasons.  The two teams dominate the Elo ratings, and usually fight closely-contested matches.  Unfortunately for the Legion, nothing seemed to go right while the Lannisters delivered an all-around performance.

14BryantThe Lannisters had an excellent offensive week.  Four players hit two home runs (Kris Bryant, Bryce Harper, Robinson Cano, and Buster Posey).  Mookie Betts slugged 0.640 with two steals.  Jason Kipnis added a home run in light duty (and had two more on the bench for the week).  Jeff led the league in OBP and tied for the lead in steals.  He was second in home runs and SLG.  Chris had okay numbers, but they were not enough to compete with the Lannsiters’ performances.  Christian Yelich and Michael Saunders had five RBI each, but not player had more than one home run.  Despite Jonathan Villar’s three steals, the Legion failed to add many more.  This led to a devastating 5-0 sweep for the Lannisters.

Hope for the Legion on the pitching side faded quickly.  Julio Urias, Jerad Eickhoff and Danny Salazar had dreadful weeks, and spoiled excellent starts from Drew Pomeranz and Kyle Hendricks.  New addition Roberto Osuna had a couple of saves.  However, Jeff countered with a strong return for Jonathan Papelbon (three saves) and Dallas Keuchel (13.0 innings pitched, 2.08 ERA).  John Lackey and Jon Lester were terrible for the Lannisters, but it wasn’t enough for any rate stats to slip below Chris’s numbers.  The Lannisters recorded another 5-0 sweep and scored a shocking 10-0 win for the week.

The victory avenges a first week tie for the Lannisters and puts the league on notice that they are capable of dominating even the best teams.  However, the Legion shouldn’t feel overly concerned about the loss.  Their offense was mediocre and the pitching staff had an unusual number of meltdowns that probably won’t repeat.  However, Chris has only one more meeting with the Lannisters this year, and can only achieve a tie for the season series.  This has implications for tie-breakers at the end of the year.

CM Happy Hollidays (2-11) vs.  LK Armadillos (9-3-1)

14StantonThe Armadillos did their best to keep pace with the Legion.  In fact, they had the better statistical week.  However, the Happy Hollidays were able to swing a couple of categories and avoid a rout.  Larry led the league in home runs, RBI, and SLG.  He tied for first in steals and was second in OBP.  Leading the way was Giancarlo Stanton with five home runs and 10 RBI.  Mark Trumbo added three home runs, and Starling Marte had six steals.  This alone could have carried the week but six other Armadillos had home runs and only two regulars slugged below 0.400.  Aledmys Diaz had a good week for the Hollidays, but it was far too little to overcome the Armadillos’ intimidating totals.  The return of Stanton to superstar form should scare the rest of the league.  Larry has managed a tie for first with almost no production from his second-best player.  If Stanton adds more fuel to the Armadillos’ offense, teams will need even more help on pitching to beat him.

The Hollidays were better on pitching, but it wasn’t enough to force the tie.  Mike Leake, Aaron Sanchez, and Adam Wainwright had great starts, but they were undone by a terrible Cole Hamels outing.  Still, the good starts were enough to give Chris M. two rate categories and avoid a sweep.  Larry countered quality with quantity, and easily won strikeouts, wins, and saves.  The overall result of the week was never in doubt.

The Lannisters and Armadillos are still tied for first, but their victories opened some room between them and the rest of the league.  The Legion are the closest competitor at 1.5 games back.  Heather is 2.5 back, and Rick is 3.0 behind.

KG Capital City Goofballs (4-9) vs.  RK Possums (7-5-1)

Rick could have been tied with Heather for fourth place but his team final went cold against a desperate Goofballs squad.  Rick seemed to be in line for a win, thanks to excellent pitching.  Rick led the league in ERA, and was far below any other team.  Masahiro Tanaka and Max Scherzer were dominant in their four combined starts, striking out 27 in 25.1 IP.  However, other players like Scott Kazmir and Corey Kluber were more erratic, and Rick’s WHIP suffered.  Kevin took advantage.  He threw the same number of innings as Rick but had more control (winning WHIP) and higher strikeout totals.  David Price was especially good, and he likely turned the WHIP category on Sunday.  However, Rick had more wins and saves.  This gave the Possums a 3-2 before considering hitting.

14Franco

Kevin countered with an excellent offensive week.  Maikel Franco led the way with four home runs.  Trevor Story added two, and Yasmani Grandal contributed seven RBI (as did Story and Franco).  The Goofball’s numbers were on par with the Lannisters.  Meanwhile, Rick’s sluggers went total cold.  Josh Donaldson had three home runs, but no other Possums regular had a SLG over 0.500 (unless you count Adam Jones’ part time play).  Wilson Ramos and Adam Duvall were especially bad, combining for seven hits over 40 at-bats.  Kevin took every category except for steals, and earned a narrow 6-4 win.  Kevin was due for better luck, and Rick was so hot that a comedown was to be expected at some point.  The question now becomes whether or not the Goofballs can build on the win.  Kevin is below 0.500, but his team has played better than the results would indicate.  Rick must also mount a comeback, and prove that his team has sustainable production.

HP PhoeGnomes (8-5) vs.  KK Thunderwolves (2-10-1)

The week’s biggest upset saw the Thunderwolves slip past the PhoeGnomes.  Each team dominated a couple of categories, but most were in play up until the end.  The categories with the biggest margins were on the pitching side.  Kyle easily won ERA after good weeks from Jake Peavy and Tyler Anderson.  However, disastrous outings from Martin Perez, Michael Wacha, and Colin Rea inflated the Thunderwolves’ WHIP.  Heather took advantage with a great week from Madison Bumgarner that included a clutch 14-strikeout win on Sunday.  However, Kyle was able to tie wins overall and took saves.  This left the teams tied 2-2-1 before looking at hitting.

14AndrusNeither team had a great offensive week compared to the rest of the league.  However, neither team struggled, either.  Kyle won OBP by a healthy margin, but Heather took steals thanks to Eduardo Nunez.  Nunez also contributed a home run and six RBI.  Kyle countered with a great week from Addison Russell and a surprising power surge from Elvis Andrus.  A strong day of RBIs on Sunday gave Kyle the category and the win.  Heather left a home run (and thus a tie for the week) on her bench in the forms of Andrew McCutchen, Tyler Naquin, and Adrian Gonzalez.  If Heather had started both McCutchen and Naquin, she would have won the week by flipping RBI and tying HR.  However, it was Kyle who made the most of his late-week opportunities and earned a close victory.  The loss drops Heather farther behind both the Armadillos and Lannisters.  The win brings Kyle further from the bottom and offers some hope for continued improvement.

Next Week

The third cycle of the season begins with the long All-Star break week.  The Lannisters meet the Goofballs.  The Armadillos must contend with the Possums, who want to prove they are a legitimate title threat.  The road doesn’t get any easier for the PhoeGnomes, who face the Legion.  Chris P. is desperate for a win.  Finally, the Hollidays and Thunderwolves meet in a battle of teams near the bottom.  Kyle can further distance himself while Chris M. will try to claw out of last place.

Special Report: Possums Surging

Written by Larry Kramer

Possums Surging!

After an unsatisfying 2015 season when the club’s statistics seemed to be better than their record indicated, and after a seemingly strong draft this winter, the Possums had seemed poised for better things in 2016.  However, it took them six long weeks early this season before the Possums finally tasted victory.  After going 0-4-1 for the first five weeks, they finally recorded their first win in mid-May.
Possum.jpgBut now the Possums are the hottest team in the league!  Rick shrewdly added Adam Duvall (22 HR, 59 RBI) and Sam Dyson (17 saves) in late May and the team reeled off four straight victories.  After a tough 4-5-1 loss to the PhoeGnomes, the Possums crushed the Legion and the Hollidays to move their record to 7-5-1 just two games off the lead (and just a half game out of the first division).  They have dominated most of their recent matchups.
If Rick can keep making the kind of moves he has been making, and avoid any big injuries, he may be poised to make a run at the title!  The Possums are on a roll!

Week 13 Elo Ratings

All of week 12’s favorites won, so there were no major shifts in the league’s Elo ratings for the week.  Jeff, Chris, Larry, and Rick all gained ground while their opponents slipped.

Elo1

Rick and Larry had the largest gains of the week, while Jeff and Chris saw small improvements.

Elo2

Next week, the Armadillos are the biggest favorite of the week against the Hollidays.  Jeff and Chris are a coin toss.  Heather returns to being a heavy favorite, and Rick enjoys a wide margin against the Goofballs.

Week 13 League Update

Heavy Favorites Dominate; Possums Roll; Armadillos Survive

LK Armadillos (8-3-1) vs.  HP PhoeGnomes (8-4)

13RizzoThe week’s closest match-up paired the Armadillos and PhoeGnomes.  Larry was tied for first place and Heather was just a half-game behind.  The winner had a chance to take sole possession of first, or keep pace with the other top teams.  Both teams showed tremendous power for the week.  The Armadillos led the league in home runs and were second in RBI.  Heather tied for the lead in steals.  The Armadillos’ home run advantage did not translate to SLG or OBP.  Both teams were virtually tied.  Kendrys Morales had four home runs in just 14 at-bats for the PhoeGnomes.  Larry countered with five players with at least two homers, including three from Anthony Rizzo and Edwin Encarnacion.  This boost gave Larry a tiny edge in both rate categories.  Both were decided by less than five thousandths of a point.  The Armadillos left four Sunday home runs on the bench.  Had he not won SLG (and thus the week), there would have been a lot of second-guessing for the league leader.

The 4-1 win on offense left Heather in a difficult position.  Unfortunately for her, the PhoeGnomes’ pitchers were not sharp for the week.  Reliable starts like Jake Arrieta and Madison Bumgarner had ERA’s over 5.00.  However, they did product wins and strikeouts.  The Armadillos were unable to match these counting stats, but good weeks from Carlos Carrasco and Carlos Martinez nailed down ERA and WHIP.  This was more than enough to secure a 6-3-1 victory for the week.  Heather had a chance with a strong Sunday to flip this result, but the PhoeGnomes didn’t have enough offense.  The win preserves the Armadillos’ tie for first place.  The PhoeGnomes drop a game and a half back, but know they are likely to be competitive to the end.

RK Possums (6-5-1) vs.  CM Happy Hollidays (2-10)

The Possums are on the edge of contention and looked to solidify their position versus the Happy Hollidays.  Rick’s team remained red hot, cruising to a 9-1 victory that was never really in doubt.  Joey Votto and Josh Donaldson each had three home runs and a steal for the week.  Albert Pujols added six RBI, and even role players like Evan Gattis contributed.  Rick led the league in RBI and was near the top in home runs, OBP and SLG.  Ben Zobrist and Stephen Piscotty had two home runs each for the Happy Hollidays, but it wasn’t enough to prevent a five-category sweep.

On pitching, Chris M. tried to counter.  Aaron Sanchez was excellent in one start.  Seung Hwan Oh had a great week from the bullpen, and Marco Estrada was productive.  However, Rick pitched more innings and had better overall production.  Justin Verlander and Scott Kazmir had solid weeks, and the Possums overcame bullpen trouble to take saves.  Rick conceded ERA to Chris, but won all four other categories.  Rick is now two games above 0.500 and just two games out of first place.

13DonaldsonJosh Donaldson has been a key for the Possums.  Acquired in a trade with the Lannisters, Donaldson has given the Possums 20 home runs and a few steals.  The pick Rick gave up for Donaldson was used to draft Corey Seager, who has 17 home runs at shortstop.  However, Rick has Xander Bogaerts, and Jeff was able to clear up a logjam at 3B.  The trade is a rare example of a deal that has benefitted both teams.

KG Capital City Goofballs (4-8) vs.  CP Legion (7-3-2)

13DuffyThe Legion needed to keep pace with the other favorites, and had a reasonably close match-up with the Goofballs.  However, Chris P. used a pitching-first strategy that paid dividends.  The Legion led the league in every pitching category besides WHIP, and most categories weren’t even close.  Chris combined a huge advantage in innings pitching with quality starts.  This resulted in nine wins, 91 strikeouts, and seven saves.  Chris often sees high strikeout and wins totals, but the saves have to be a welcome sight.  Vince Velazquez and Danny Duffy were the standouts for the week.  The pair combined for 27.2 innings pitched, 30 strikeouts, four wins, and a sub-2.00 ERA.  Cody Allen and Steve Cishek added three saves each.  Overall, it was a dominant performance that Kevin was unable to counter.

On offense, the Goofballs had much more positive results.  Kevin had the second best SLG and home run total in the league.  Brian Dozier had three homers, and Yoenis Cespedes and Freddie Freeman had ten hits each.  Chris had good home run, RBI, and SLG totals too, but they weren’t good enough to counter the Goofballs.  Jake Lamb stayed red-hot, but only Danny Espinosa had a steal for the Legion.  This gave Kevin a chance to salvage a 5-5 draw.  However, Kevin couldn’t find any steals on Sunday.  The Goofballs posted an excellent 0.594 OBP for the day, but it wasn’t enough to take the category from the Legion.  Chris earned a 6-3-1 victory and kept pace with the top of the league.  The loss continues Kevin’s trend of falling just-short against top competition.

JK Lannisters (8-3-1) vs.  KK Thunderwolves (2-9-1)

13ShoemakerLike the Possums, the Lannisters enjoyed a relatively stress-free week against the Thunderwolves.  Despite injuries to nearly his entire starting rotation, Jeff managed to win four pitching categories thanks to solid efforts from journeymen like Matt Shoemaker and John Lackey.  However, the Lannisters were unable to record a win for the week, and Kyle managed to take at least one category.

On offense, the Lannisters had the best OBP and SLG in the league.  They tied for the highest steals total.  Kyle produced good power and RBI numbers, but it wasn’t enough.  Kris Bryant exploded for a five home run week.  Bryce Harper added two of his own.  Kyle had good weeks from Nelson Cruz, Ryan Braun, and Wil Myers.  However, no other Thunderwolf regular had a SLG over 0.500.  The Lannisters had six regulars with SLG over 0.500 and piled up steals from Mike Trout.  This resulted in a rare stress-free week for the Lannisters, who remained tied with the Armadillos for first place.

Next Week

The most important match of the week pairs the Lannisters and Legion.  These teams have a long-running history.  After a tie in the first week, both teams will look for a decisive result.  The Possums, Armadillos, and PhoeGnomes will all try to take advantage of a loss from one of the league’s best.  They face the Goofballs, Hollidays, and Thunderwolves respectively.

Week 12 Elo Ratings

Week 12 saw several major shifts in the league’s Elo ratings.  Both of the top two teams lost, but Jeff lost fewer points since he was defeated by a better team.  Chris P. fell by 2.5 more points, and that gap was enough for Jeff to move back into first place.  Larry and Rick gained the most points this week.  Heather also moved further over 1,500.

12Elo1

Kyle was able to move out of last place with his victory.  However, he is still a week or so behind the Goofballs for sixth place.

12Elo2

Despite losing last week, but Jeff and Chris P. are heavy favorites this week.  Both have 70% chances to win.  Larry and Rick are also favored by around 60%.  These matches represent some of the widest gaps of the season.  However, last week proved that any team can win at any time!

Week 12 League Update

Leaders Upset; PhoeGnomes, Thunderwolves Dominate

CP Legion (7-2-2) vs.  RK Possums (5-5-1)

12BlackmonThe Possums were able to continue their turnaround against the Legion.  Chris P. entered the week with a chance to move into first place with a win.  Unfortunately, Rick had other ideas, and relied on his offense to once again carry the week.  Leading the Possums was Charlie Blackmon.  He had five home runs, nine RBI, and a SLG of 0.909 over 33 at-bats for the week.  Justin Upton and Khris Davis added a pair of home runs for the week.  Rick led the league with 12 total home runs.  Blackmon, Upton, and Davis’s power also translated to a 0.504 SLG for the Possums.  This was more than enough to top the Legion, who had down weeks in most offensive categories.  Only two Legion players with more than ten at-bats for the week had SLG over 0.500.  The Legion were also not stealing bases, and Rick completed the five-category sweep.

Chris was much better on pitching.  Drew Pomeranz had an excellent start, and Trevor Bauer added nine phenomenal innings of his own.  Chris had the second-best ERA and WHIP in the league.  However, the Legion failed to produce enough saves to overcome strong weeks from the Possums’ AJ Ramos and Zach Britton.  The Possums took saves, and also had a higher strikeout total over a few more innings pitched.  The Possums finished the week with a solid 7-3 victory.  Rick is now back above 0.500 for the season and only two games out of first place.  The Legion likely consider the week a missed opportunity, but the superb pitching is a good sign for future weeks.

JK Lannisters (8-2-1) vs.  LK Armadillos (7-3-1)

12OzunaThe week’s most important match saw the Armadillos take on the Lannsiters.  Neither team produced phenomenal stats, but Larry did enough to win and take over first place via tie-breaker.  Eight different Armadillos’ players hit home runs and set the offensive tone for the week.  Leading the way was Marcell Ozuna with three, and Ian Desmond with two.  Role players like J.R. Realmuto added steals, giving the Armadillos a balanced attack for the week.  Desmond was particularly strong, and had an OBP over 0.500.  The Lannisters had good weeks from Mike Trout and Derek Norris, but few other players contributed.  Bryce Harper added a pair of steals, giving Jeff just one category out of four.

Neither team had solid pitching.  The Armadillos endured atrocious games from Drew Smyly, Steven Matz, and Kenta Maeda.  The Lannisters fared badly as well.  John Lackey embarrassed himself in two starts, though Jacob deGrom did well against the lowly Braves.  The Lannisters took ERA and WHIP, but the Armadillos’ surplus of starters gave them easy wins in strikeouts, wins, and saves.  Ultimately, the Armadillos claimed victory, but both teams face injury problems and issues on the pitching side.  For now the Armadillos are in first place and have a two game tie breaker advantage on the Lannisters.  However, neither team can feel much confidence with the Legion, PhoeGnomes, and Possums putting up much better numbers.

HP PhoeGnomes (7-4) vs.  CM Happy Hollidays (2-9)

The week’s best performing team was the PhoeGnomes.  Heather combined good offense with elite pitching, and earned an 8-0-2 victory.  Chris Sale, Madison Bumgarner, and Steven Wright led the way.  The trio threw 43 innings, allowed just 10 earned runs, and totaled two wins.  Heather had the best ERA and WHIP in the league by a wide margin.  She also amassed 82 strikeouts over 77 innings pitched, also tops in the league.  The Hollidays were able to tie in wins and saves.  This was more impressive considering Sean Doolittle and Brad Ziegler picked up two of those wins and had three saves between them.  Unfortunately for Chris M., the pair’s efforts weren’t enough to swing any full categories. 12Sale

On offense, the Hollidays weren’t able to mount a comeback.  The team posted decent power numbers but couldn’t record a steal.  They also struggled to produce RBI’s and had the second lowest OBP in the league behind the Legion.  Heather countered with a great week from Jose Altuve, who hit three home runs.  Odubel Herrera contributed a pair of steals, and Chris Davis added nine RBI and two homers.  This was more than enough to secure all five categories, and give Heather a comfortable win.  She is not within a half game of the league lead.  The upsets to the Legion and Lannisters bolstered her position in the standings, but she will need to continue to put together good performances to climb higher.

KK Thunderwolves (1-9-1) vs.  KG Capital City Goofballs (4-7)

The week’s final match paired the Goofballs with the Thunderwolves.  Both teams had impressive offenses, but Kevin was ultimately undone by a disastrous performance on the mound.  On offense, the two teams combined for 21 home runs, the most in the league.  Kevin had one more than Kyle thanks to great weeks from Trevor Story, Mark Reynolds, and Todd Frazier.  Each of these three hit two home runs each.  However, Kyle was able to counter with lots of RBI’s from Gregory Polanco and Prince Fielder.  The Thunderwolves also had more steals.  This gave Kyle two categories to Kevin’s three.

12PolancoAlthough the Goofballs had a good offensive base, these results were nullified thanks to dreadful starts from Nathan Karns, David Price, Jeff Samardzjia, and Jake Odorizzi.  Incredibly, these players had an aggregate ERA of 11.07.  Johnny Cueto brought down the team ERA despite giving up seven earned runs in 12.2 innings pitched.  The Goofballs finished with the worst ERA and WHIP in the league by a wide margin.  Kyle easily won the two rate categories and added victories in strikeouts, wins, and saves.  Kevin started many players but didn’t accumulate enough innings to be competitive in the counting stats.  Kyle earned a win, while once again the Goofballs are left wondering what they need to do to compete.

Next Week

Week 13 is the halfway point of the season.  The best match of the week features the PhoeGnomes and Armadillos.  Larry can hold on to first place with a win.  Heather could possibly take over first with a win and help.  The Legion and Lannisters look to rebound against lower-ranked teams.  The Legion face the Goofballs and the Lannisters meet the Thunderwolves.  Finally, Rick hopes to continue his winning ways against the Hollidays.

Week 11 Elo Ratings

There were few major changes in the Elo ratings this week.  Both the Legion and Lannisters won and gained a few points, but not enough to break their tie at the top of the list.  The Armadillos lost a lot of points in their upset.  Similarly, the Goofballs gained after their win.  Both the Hollidays and Thunderwolves fell even further toward the bottom, but neither lost many points since they faced far superior teams.

11Elo1

This week the Legion are the biggest favorites.  They face the Possums.  Rick has been hot, so Chris can’t overlook his opponent.  The PhoeGnomes are the second biggest favorite.  Heather faces the Hollidays.  The best match of the week is between the Armadillos and Lannisters, which has Jeff as just a 56/44% favorite.  The Goofballs are also favored – they face the Thunderwolves.

11Elo2

Week 11 League Update

Legion, Lannisters Dominate; PhoeGnomes, Goofballs Edge Competition

KG Capital City Goofballs (3-7) vs.  LK Armadillos (7-2-1)

After several weeks of tough losses, the Goofballs edged the Armadillos by a tiny 6-4 margin.  The Armadillos were close to forcing a tie, but Kevin had just enough pitching to secure the win.  On offense, it looked like the Armadillos would run away with the lead.  Anthony Rizzo and Edwin Encarnacion had three home runs each.  Larry was tied for second in the league in home runs.  Ian Desmond remained hot and was one of nine players with a home run.  The Goofballs had ten home runs, including three from Freddie Freeman.  He also contributed a steal, giving Kevin his only offensive category.  The Armadillos’ dominant 4-1 performance seemed to secure the week.

11PriceThe Goofballs were able to rally on the pitching side.  David Price was excellent, pitching 16 innings and striking out 18.  Jake Odorizzi was also solid, striking out 17 over 11.2 IP.  The Goofballs staff threw 72 innings and had solid stats across the board.  The Armadillos had good performances too.  Kenta Maeda and Carlos Carrasco rebounded for good weeks and struck out 28 total over four starts.  However, a Trevor Rosenthal meltdown left him with two earned runs over zero innings pitched.  This gave Kevin an opening, and he took saves by one.

He also had two perfect bullpen appearances for 1.1 innings pitched on Sunday.  This gave Kevin a 3.00 ERA.  The Armadillos were 0.003 behind in ERA and had no relief pitchers make it into a game on Sunday.  If Kevin had one fewer inning pitched (or allowed one more run at any point), the Armadillos would have tied the week.  On Sunday, both Dellin Betances and Marcus Stroman suffered meltdowns.  Kevin skillfully avoided these traps, despite the temptation to start Stroman and lock up strikeouts.  The Armadillos had a strong Sunday effort from Fernando Rodney, but he was on the bench.  If he had been in the lineup, the Armadillos would have had a 2.98 ERA and a tie for the week.  In this case, Kevin had luck on his side and managed the upset.  The Armadillos’ loss also relieves some of the pressure on the Lannisters, who are now in first place and face the Armadillos next.

CP Legion (6-2-2) vs.  KK Thunderwolves (1-8-1)

In a week with two close matches, the Legion stood out for their dominant win over the Thunderwolves.  The Legion had the best offensive week of any team.  Chris P. had the highest home run and SLG totals.  He tied for first in RBI.  Leading the way were Miguel Cabrera, Evan Longoria, and Devon Travis.  All three had two home runs.  Travis was excellent in limited duty, and nine other players had home runs for the Legion.  Christian Yelich added six RBIs, and Jake Lamb contributed four more with a 0.909 SLG.  Addison Russell had a nice week for the Thunderwolves, but it wasn’t enough.  Chris won all five categories with ease. 11Eikhoff

Chris continued his dominance on the pitching side.  The Legion had the most wins and strikeouts in the league.  Although the Legion had the second-worst ERA and WHIP in the league, their totals were respectable enough to beat the Thunderwolves.  Jerad Eickhoff had a good week, and was one of seven Legion pitchers who picked up a win.  Julio Urias was the only one of the Legion’s seven starters who did not get a win, and he didn’t allow a run in his start.  In contrast, the Thunderwolves had dreadful weeks from Drew Straily and Aaron Nola.  Zack Greinke and Michael Wacha were good, but it wasn’t enough.  Kyle managed a tie in saves, but it was the only category he didn’t lose.  The Legion enjoyed a massive 9-0-1 victory that was never in doubt.  The Thunderwolves are left looking for answers.  When Kyle’s pitching struggles, he is unlikely to win.  The Thunderwolves will need to address their offense to improve.  Meanwhile, the Legion look forward to critical matches against the league leaders.  If he can continue to be a dual offense and pitching threat, he will remain in the title hunt.

RK Possums (5-4-1) vs.  HP PhoeGnomes (6-4)

After a series of wins against some of the best teams in the league, the Possums’ hot streak finally ended.  The PhoeGnomes managed a close victory in a hotly-contested battle.  Early in the week, things looked great for the Possums.  He tied for second in the league in home runs, had the best RBI, finished second in steals, and posted solid rate stats.  Josh Donaldson and Adam Duvall each had three home runs.  Charlie Blackmon contributed two steals.  Xander Bogaerts and Wilson Ramos stayed hot and had three home runs and a steal between them.  However, Heather countered with good performances of her own.  Paul Goldschmidt had three home runs, and Kole Calhoun, Kyle Seager, and Jose Abreu had two each.  It wasn’t enough to top the Possums, but her lineup output was more consistent and had better OBP and SLG for the week.  She also won steals, thanks to Eduardo Nunez.  This gave her three categories to Rick’s two.11Blackmon

On pitching, each category was a battle.  Rick threw far more innings and easily won strikeouts.  He also led the league in saves by a wide margin.  Heather countered with great weeks from Steven Wright, Jake Arrieta, and Julio Teheran.  Teheran was especially strong – he threw 16 IP, struck out 15, had an ERA of 0.00, and a WHIP of 0.31.  Heather started seven pitchers and had six wins.  In contrast, Rick started 10 and also had 6 wins.  Both teams finished second to the Legion, but one more win would have earned him a tie for the week.  Michael Fulmer pitched well enough to win.  He threw 5.2 IP and allowed a single run.  Unfortunately, his team let him down, and the Possums suffered a close loss.  The win was a good one for the PhoeGnomes, and both teams remain in contention.

CM Happy Hollidays (2-7) vs.  JK Lannisters (7-2-1)

The final match of the week featured the Lannsiters and the slumping Happy Hollidays.  After weeks of brutal match-ups, Jeff was able to relax somewhat this week.  The Lannister offense remained consistent.  They led the league in OBP and was second in SLG.  David Ortiz contributed two home runs and even sealed the steals category with a steal.  Several other Lannisters had solid weeks, despite the team’s litany of injuries.  Ben Zobrist had a good effort for the Hollidays, but it wasn’t enough to prevent the sweep. 11Ortiz

On pitching, the Hollidays fared slightly better with a good week from Adam Wainwright.  However, the Lannisters countered with strong weeks from newcomer Matt Shoemaker.  Lance McCullers and Jose Quintana were strong as well.  The teams had the best two ERAs in the league, but the Lannisters had more strikeouts, saves, and a better WHIP.  This was more than enough to secure the 8-2 win.  The Hollidays are in free-fall, while the Lannisters enjoyed a less stressful week before facing the Armadillos.

Next Week

Week 12 features several great match-ups.  The Lannisters and Armadillos battle for first place in their second meeting of the season.  The Possums look to rebound against the Legion.  Both teams are coming off strong runs.  The PhoeGnomes hope to continue to win against the Hollidays.  Finally, the Thunderwolves look to turn things around against the Goofballs.

Larry’s Injury Report

Note:  This is a special injury report from Larry, the manager of the Armadillos!  Enjoy!

Who Leads the Dirt mountain League in Injuries Right Now?

#8–As of June 17, the Armadillos are the luckiest team as far as injuries go (knock on wood).  They have no one on the DL and have just two players listed as DTD (Marte and Maeda).  Armadillos management attributes the team’s good health to a closely monitored dietary plan consisting primarily of Whataburgers (Chicago guys should think of it in terms of Epic Burger — and if you two haven’t eaten there, why are you living in Chicago?) and pizza.  “We don’t believe in all that stuff like salads, roasted vegetables, smoothies, fresh fruit, soylent powder, or illegal dietary substances (take note Possums).”  Texas beef (or BBQ) is the preferred clubhouse food.  Bartolo Colon would love to be a member of the Armadillos.  Contrary to rumors, Giancarlo Stanton is not on the 60 day DL, nor is he posing as a vegan in the Witness Protection program,  Sadly, he is warming a spot at the end of the Armadillo bench trying to figure out what went wrong??

#7–The Possums have fared almost as well and are missing only Michael Brantley on the DL and have only C. Maybin as DTD.  Of course, there is an ongoing investigation of possible widespread doping by Rick’s squad, and a few suspensions could be coming.

#6–The Legion has also fared well and have just three players on the DL at the moment:  Puig, G. Cole, and V. Velasquez.  Two good young arms – hopefully they won’t miss much time.

#5–The Happy Hollidays have been relatively healthy, but they list Mark Teixera (nothing new there), Phil Hughes,  David Wright (tough luck for a fierce competitor), and Shelby Miller (who brought Atlanta a boatload of prospects).  The Hollidays have one player suspended – H. Olivera.

#4–The Thunderwolves have four players on the DL.  C. Spangenberg, Domingo Santana, and Brock Holt have not been missed as much time as the biggest casualty – Yu Darvish.  Yu missed all of last season and most of this one, and is now back on the DL after Tommy John surgery.  Hopefully, for Kyle’s team, and for all baseball fans, he will be back at full strength soon.  He’s fun to watch!

#3–The PhoeGnomes have been hit pretty hard and have five players out:  Travis d’Arnaud, M. Sano, J. McGee, Tyson Ross, and, the latest Bat-flip Bautista (sorry – couldn’t resist).  T. Walker is listed as DTD and Dee Gordon is suspended (reportedly the Possums are trying to trade for him and H. Olivera).

#2–The Goofballs earned the second spot primarily because of Kyle Schwarber — with all the post-season accolades from last year fresh in mind, Kevin spent a first round pick expecting a big season from him behind the plate.  But it wasn’t to be — and with the dearth of catching talent this year – it has been a tough loss for his team.  Jorge Soler, S. Souza, and G. Parra round out his other players on the DL.

#1–Not the kind of #1 a team wants — but the Lannisters earn the distinction of being the team hardest hit by injuries as we near the All-Star Break.  Members of the Legion now have 6 on the DL including King Felix, a resurgent Rich Hill, Jonathan Papelbon (and he wasn’t even put there by Bryce Harper), A. J. Pollock,  Troy Tulowitzki, and most recently J. D. Martinez.  To add insult to his injuries, he also has Kris Bryant as DTD.  Not many teams could stay afloat with that group missing in action.

However, he remarkable thing is, despite all his injuries, Jeff has the Lannisters in a tie for first place!  This doesn’t bode well for the rest of the league.  I think we all need to make a move while we have a chance.  But we all need to hold our breath as well – every player, unfortunately, is just one pitch, one swing, or one step away from being hurt and joining all these guys on the DL.

Stay healthy my friends!

 

 

 

 

Week 10 Elo Ratings

Week ten saw more shifts in the Elo ratings.  The Legion and Lannisters are not tied for first place overall.  The Legion suffered a loss to a tough Armadillos team.  Larry gained 11.2 points and is not within 20 points of the leaders.  Jeff gained 8 points to tie Chris P..10Elo1

The Goofballs and Possums also posted solid gains, with corresponding point losses for the Hollidays and Thunderwolves.  Rick is moving close to 0.500, and Kevin is now in 6th place.  Heather dropped below 1,500, but not by much.  Her rating is now 1,497.10Elo2

Looking ahead to next week, the Legion and Lannisters are massive favorites, with 72% win probabilities against the Thunderwolves and Hollidays respectively.  These are the some of the highest ratings gaps we’ve see.  Kevin is close behind – the Armadillos are 69% favorites.  However, there is great opportunity for these lower ranked teams to gain more points if they can pull off the upset.  The closest match of the week is between the Possums and PhoeGnomes.  Heather is the 53/47% favorite, but Rick’s hot streak means he may have the edge.  A win wouldn’t vault Rick over Heather, but it would put him within striking distance for fourth place.