Week 20 Elo Ratings

The PhoeGnomes and Goofballs were the largest winners in Elo this week.  Both teams were able to move closer to 1,500 and each could probably cross the boundary with a win this week.  The Lannisters and Possums also gained ground.  Jeff is threatening to broach 1,600 while Rick is now further above the 1,500 level.

Elo1

The Lannisters are slight favorites over the Legion this week.  The Goofballs and Possums are also a toss-up.  The PheoGnomes are a slight favorite over the Thunderwolves.  The biggest favorite of the week is the Armadillos.  The Hollidays have just a 29% chance to win.

Elo2

Week 20 League Update

Possums, Lannisters Dominate; Goofballs and PhoeGnomes Manage Upsets

CP Legion (11-5-3) vs.  KG Capital City Goofballs (9-10)

With the chase for the title heating up, the Goofballs played spoiler versus the Legion.  Chris sat just a game behind the Lannisters entering the week, but the Goofballs were determined to frustrate their plans.  Kevin was able to build a formidable lead in pitching thanks to monster weeks from David Price, Chris Archer, and Jon Gray.  The trio combined for 41 strikeouts over five starts.  Outside of a poor start from John Musg20Grayrove, Kevin also posted a solid ERA and WHIP.  The Legion had one more win than the Goofballs, and the two teams tied in saves.  However, Chris was undone after a shocking meltdown from Homer Bailey.  The Reds’ starter threw just 3.1 innings and allowed nine earned runs.  Danny Salazar, Dylan Bundy, and Blake Snell each allowed at least six earned runs.  Chris was never competitive in the rate stats, and Kevin had a strong 3-1-1 lead before accounting for hitting
.

Neither team produced stellar offensive stats.  Chris led the league in steals thanks to Trea Turner and Jonathan Villar.  He also topped Kevin in RBI.  However, Kevin was able to produce slightly better rate stats and more power.  Chris had worst SLG and second worst OBP in the league, and had the fewest home runs of any team.  Both teams had fewer RBI than any other team.  Big weeks from Freddie Freeman and Brian Dozier were enough for Kevin to earn the categories he needed for a victory.

The win brings the Goofballs to 0.500 on the season.  The loss was huge for the Legion, who fell to two games behind the Lannisters.  However, Jeff’s team meets Chris this week and faces Kevin next week.  There will be a chance for both teams to move up in the standings.

KK Thunderwolves (5-11-3) vs.  JK Lannisters (13-5-1)

20QuintanaThe Lannisters were able to take care of business after a dominant performance against the Thunderwolves.  The week started shaky for the Lannisters, who initially struggled on pitching.  However, the staff rebounded and posted the second best ERA in the league.  They also totaled good wins, saves, and strikeout numbers.  John Lester was superb.  He allowed just one run over two starts, and struck out 14 over 14 innings.  Jose Quintana and long reliever Juan Nicasio were also outstanding for the week.  Kyle had a good effort from Yordano Ventura but Zach Greinke’s struggles and a lack of saves from anyone besides Tony Watson ultimately gave Jeff a five-category sweep.

On offense, the Lannisters continued to roll.  They had the best OBP in the league by a wide margin.  They were also tied for first in home runs and had the second best RBI and SLG to the Possums.  Eleven Lannisters’ players hit home runs, including three from Manny Machado and four from Kris Bryant.  Mookie Betts stayed hot, with a home run and two steals.  Russell Martin contributed eight RBI in limited duty.  Overall, the offensive attack was just too much for the Thunderwolves.  Kyle had eight players with homers, including another great week for Addison Russell.  However, outside of his home run power, the team struggled to get on base and had a relatively low SLG since they didn’t hit many doubles or singles.

The win was critical for the Lannisters, who have a narrow lead in the title chase.  Jeff is now a full two games ahead of the Legion.  Chris cannot win the tie-breaker, so he will need to gain 2.5 games in the standings to win outright and two to tie.  With a victory over the Legion next week, the Lannisters could almost clinch at least a share of the title.  A loss will mean there is more work to do before anyone pops champagne.

HP PhoeGnomes (10-9) vs.  LK Armadillos (10-7-2)

Heather was able to move back above 0.500 with a victory against the slumping Armadillos.  Heather’s winning effort was led by her pitching staff.  Jake Arrieta and Noah Syndergaard were stellar, and allowed just one run over 15 innings.  However, Madison Bumgarner and Julio Teheran were terrible over three starts, and Heather’s numbers were down from where they could have been.  This gave the Armadillos a chance to rally.  Unfortunately for Larry, these ambitions were thwarted by Jameson Taillon, Jason Hammel, and Reynaldo Lopez.  Heather took all five categories, including a narrow win in saves.20Taillon

The Armadillos were much better on offense.  Gary Sanchez had five home runs and nine RBI.  Daniel Murphy and Mark Trumbo added two each.  This gave the Armadillos a definitive lead in SLG and OBP.  It also secured RBI and home runs.  However, the Armadillos had just two steals.  This gave Heather the tie she needed to secure the narrow 5-4-1 victory.  Despite losing the other offensive stats, Heather had good offensive numbers too.  Nolan Arenado had three homers and Yasmany Tomas had seven RBIs.

Heather earned a close win for the week.  The loss for the Armadillos drops them out of contention.  Incredibly, Larry’s team has not won a game since the 4th of July.  The devastating losing streak has seen the team fall from first place to fifth.  They are just a game ahead of the Goofballs.

CM Happy Hollidays (2-16-1) vs.  RK Possums (10-7-2)

20DonaldsonThe week’s most dominant victory saw the Possums destroy the Happy Hollidays.  Rick led the league in RBI and SLG.  He was tied for first in home runs.  Josh Donaldson added five for the week and had ten RBI.  Eight other Possums’ players had homers, including two from Evan Gattis in just 10 at-bats.  The hot play carried over to the pitching side as well.  Rick had the best ERA and WHIP in the league.  He was second in wins to the Legion.  Justin Verlander continued his resurgence, and Masahiro Tanaka delivered a great game as well.

The Possums are still lurking in contention at 2.5 game back from the Lannisters.  If they can win this week, and the Lannisters lose, they will be just 1.5 game back and hold the season tie-breaker.  The Legion are likely happy that Rick’s offensive explosion came a week too late.  However, Rick is still a contender and needs to keep working one week at a time.

Next Week

Next week features a seismic battle between the Legion and Lannisters.  A loss for the Legion will all but secure the title for the defending champions.  However, a victory still raises the possibility of a split title or a possible outright win with help.  The Possums are in a must-win against the Goofballs.  Rick needs Chris to win, and a victory himself to stay in the hunt.  The Armadillos catch a break and play the fading Hollidays.  Finally, the PhoeGnomes will look to move further above 0.500 against the Thunderwolves.

Week 19 Elo Ratings

 

Week 19 saw all four favorites win.  The Legion and Lannisters extended their Elo leads and the Lannisters are threatening to cross over 1,600 again.  The PhoeGnomes and Goofballs also gained ground as they move closer to 1,500.

Elo1

Next week, the Lannisters, Legion, and Possums are heavy favorites.  All have over a 66% chance to win.  The Armadillos are close, too, with a 57% victory probability.

Elo2

Week 19 League Update

Lannisters, Legion Dominate; PhoeGnomes and Goofballs Take Care of Business

With only seven matches left in the season, the league leaders knew this week was critical.  After an upset at the hands of the Thunderwolves, the Legion rallied to defeat the surging Possums.  The Lannisters dominated the Armadillos after a massive offensive performance.  Jeff’s team is a combined 17-3 over the last two weeks.  The PhoeGnomes and Goofballs also scored impressive victories.

RK Possums (10-6-2) vs.  CP Legion (10-5-3)

The week’s most important match featured the Possums and Legion.  With one of the Lannisters and Armadillos sure to lose or tie, Rick and Chris were both looking to gain ground.  The week was critical for both teams.  The Possums would fall to 2.5 games back with a loss if the Lannisters won.  The Legion would drop to two back, with no way to win the tie-breaker.  With these high stakes as the backdrop, it was the Legion who put together the better week.

19Ray

Chris had a strong overall offensive showing.  He was among the league leaders in home runs, OBP, and SLG.  He led the league in steals.  Christian Yelich was the best player for the Legion.  He had three home runs and two steals.  Seven Legion players contributed home runs and Trea Turner had three steals.  The Possums struggled to get much production from their offensive core.  Only three Possums’ players with at least ten at-bats had a SLG over 0.415.  Ian Kinsler struggled with a one-for-seventeen week.  This contributed to a team SLG below 0.400.  Rick’s offense was due to cool at some point.  The team is likely disappointed that the decline had to come in such a critical week.

Neither team posted impressive pitching stats.  However, Chris showed good counting numbers, leading the league in strikeouts and wins, and tying for the lead in saves.  The team ERA was over 4.32 and the WHIP was not good.  Leading the effort was Robbie Ray, who struck out 18 over 12 innings and allowed just two earned runs.  Other players like Vince Velazquez were effective in quantity (17 strikeouts) but allowed 10 earned runs in 11.2 innings pitched.  Rick tried to gain ground in the rate categories but was only able to take ERA.  This gave Chris a relatively easy victory for the week.

The Legion’s win cements Chris’s place as the most likely team to challenge the Lannisters for the league title.  The Legion are just a game back, and face an almost must-win versus the Lannisters in two weeks.  The Possums fall to 2.5 games back and will need substantial help to get back into the race.  However, the disappointing result should not discourage the team.  The Possums have made tremendous strides this year and are in a much better position than this time last year.

LK Armadillos (10-6-2) vs.  JK Lannisters (12-5-1)

The league’s current leader, the Lannisters, met the Armadillos in the second most important match of the week.  The Armadillos needed the win to pull closer to first place.  Since Larry owned the tie-breaker for the season, he would have been in a good position with the win.  Unfortunately, the Lannisters’ offense sprang to life and showed why the defending champs are so tough to beat.

19Martin

The Lannisters led the league in every offensive category except for steals.  Eleven Lannisters hit home runs for the week, including four from Russell Martin.  Kris Bryant hit three with 11 RBIs.  Bryce Harper showed signs of life while role players like Jean Segura tallied three steals in a game.  The Lannisters built up such a lead in every category except for steals that they tried to run-up this category as well.  Then, designated base stealers like Keon Broxton and Travis Jankowski hit home runs in addition to padding the steals total.  The total effort was probably the best offensive output of the year for a seven-day stretch, and rivaled the Possums’ and Goofballs’ explosions from earlier in the year.

Despite the results on offense, the Armadillos had a chance thanks to terrible Lannister pitching.  The Lannisters somehow lead the league in aggregate team ERA for the year.  However, they struggled this week and had the second-worst ERA for the week.  They completely gave up on saves, and used long-relievers to rack up strikeouts.  This, combined with a high wins total, was enough to deliver the victory.  The Armadillos have suffered numerous injuries on the pitching side (as have the Lannisters).  The lack of Clayton Kershaw and Matt Harvey has been devastating for the Armadillos.

The loss does not mean the Armadillos are completely without hope.  They are 2.5 games back but still own the season tie-breaker.  If they can win out, they could still challenge for the title with help.  The win keeps the Lannisters ahead of the Legion and the rest of the competition.  They will need to find pitching help, with ace Stephen Strasburg on the DL.

KG Capital City Goofballs (8-9) vs.  KK Thunderwolves (5-10-3)

The week’s most competitive match paired the Goofballs and Thunderwolves.  Both teams have played well recently and this match was another close contest.  Kevin had the best pitching in the league by far.  He easily took ERA and WHIP with league-leading totals.  He also picked up wins, thanks to a solid week from his Rays-heavy rotation.  Kyle countered with better strikeout totals and more saves for the week in the same number of innings pitched.  Despite having great rate stats, Kyle didn’t get a lot of wins for the week.  Kevin took a 3-2 category lead before factoring in offense.

Kevin was able to take the week thanks to an excellent offensive showing.  He had the most consistent week outside of the Lannisters, and posted the second-best SLG and home runs totals in the league.  Ten different Goofballs had homers, and DJ LeMahieu was on fire with a 0.630 OBP and 0.958 SLG for the week.  The Thunderwolves countered with big weeks from Addison Russell and Adrian Beltre (three home runs each).  Kyle took RBI with the league’s second highest total.  Overall, offense was a good battle, but the Goofballs’ consistency was enough to earn them the win and bring them closer to 0.500.  Yet again the Thunderwolves played well but were beaten by a narrow margin.  Both teams are trending in the right direction.

LeMahieu

CM Happy Hollidays (2-15-1) vs.  HP PhoeGnomes (9-9)

The PhoeGnomes were able to get back to 0.500 after following the Lannisters’ template.  Heather dominated the offensive side against the Happy Hollidays and relied on her bullpen and high wins totals to sneak by on the pitching side.  Yasmani Tomas had four home runs and nine RBI for the PhoeGnomes, and Nolan Arenado emerged from a long slump with two homers and 11 RBI.  The rest of Heather’s lineup was consistent and solid, with only one player posting a SLG below 0.400 and only Tomas slugging above 0.565.  The lineup was consistent throughout the week and gave Heather a solid lead.19Tomas

On pitching, neither team excelled.  The PhoeGnomes and Lannisters challenged for the worst ERA in the league, but Heather eventually “won” the honor.  Zach Davies and Collin McHugh were deplorable, allowing 13 earned runs in seven innings pitched.  The Happy Hollidays fared much better, with Mike Leake, Cole Hamels, and Francisco Liriano combining to allow just one earned run over 20.1 innings pitched.  However, Chris M. failed to have five starts, so the team’s stellar ERA and WHIP were not counted in the stats!  Ultimately, this didn’t matter, because Heather secured more saves for the week and swept on offense.  The win moves the PhoeGnomes back to 0.500, and closer to the top of the league.

Next Week

The race for the title takes a detour next week, as the Lannisters and Legion meet the Thunderwolves and Goofballs respectively.  The Lannisters typically match up well against the Thunderwolves, but Kyle’s pitching could be a problem this time.  Kevin has been hot on offense and can definitely give the Legion problems.  The Possums hope to have a breather against the Happy Hollidays.  Rick must win this match to stay in the hunt.  Finally, the Armadillos have to beat the PhoeGnomes to keep their hopes alive, too.  Even if both the Lannisters and Legion fall, Larry needs the win to gain ground since time is running out.

Week 18 Elo Ratings

Week 18 saw yet another shift at the top of the league’s Elo ratings.  The Lannisters moved back into first place after the Legion’s shocking loss to the Thunderwolves.  The Armadillos also lost ground, but remain above the Possums in fourth place.

Elo1

The Goofballs gained more ground on the PhoeGnomes and are not a threat to move into fifth place.  The Thunderwolves also advanced while the Happy Hollidays lost minimal points to the Lannisters.

Elo2

Next week’s top two matches are extremely close.  The Lannisters have a 56% chance to defeat the Armadillos, and the Legion are 59% favorites over the Possums.  The PhoeGnomes are the most favored team at 63%.  The Thunderwolves and Goofballs are essentially a toss-up at 51%/49%.

Week 18 League Update

Possums, Lannisters Dominate; Thunderwolves and Goofballs Upset Favorites

With the season nearing the home stretch, every match-up is important.  Two of the league leaders, the Possums and Lannisters, took care of business in dominant fashion.  However, the Armadillos and Legion fell to unlikely upsets by the Goofball and Thunderwolves.

HP PhoeGnomes (9-8) vs.  RK Possums (9-6-2)

The most important match of the week was between the Possums and PhoeGnomes.  After a hot start, Heather has fallen to around 0.500.  The Possums have done the opposite, surging forward and dominating almost every team in the league over the last two cycles.  This match was critical for both teams’ chances to win the title.

The Possums answered the challenge with one of the best overall weeks for any team this season.  Rick easily had the best pitching in the league.  He led the league in ERA and WHIP, was tied for first in wins and saves, and was second in strikeouts.  Leading the way was Michael Fulmer.  He strike out 15 over 16.0 innings pitched, and allowed just two earned runs.  Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer were also strong, while Zach Britton recorded three saves.  Heather had difficult weeks from Luis Severino and Zach Davies.  She was unable to gain any real traction for the week on pitching, so Rick had a substantial advantage before factoring in offense.

18Blackmon

Unfortunately for Heather, Rick dominated here as well.  The Possums led the league in home runs and OBP and were second in RBI and SLG.  Ten Possums’ players had home runs, including six from Charlie Blackmon.  His OBP and SLG were 0.615 and 1.417 respectively.  Even little-used players like Evan Gattis and Hernan Perez contributed power.  The PhoeGnomes didn’t have a chance to compete despite the most steals in the league and good OBP and SLG totals.  Once again, the Possums steam-rolled their opponent and I’m running out of superlatives to describe their hot streak.  Rick remains just 1.5 games behind the Lannisters.  Heather slides to 0.500 for the year and at 3.5 game behind, is like out of the main title hunt.  However, there is still time for her to rally and try to finish in the top three.

KK Thunderwolves (4-10-3) vs.  CP Legion (10-4-3)

The first upset of the week came from the Thunderwolves.  After a difficult series of games, Kyle was able to score a close win versus the Legion.  Kyle put on a dominant offensive performance that set him up for the victory.  Leading the way was Ryan Braun, who had four home runs and nine RBI.  The former Legion outfielder was joined by Jonathan Lucroy , Adrian Beltre, Nelson Cruz, Addison Russell and Wil Myers who all hit at least two home runs.  The display of power was a welcome surprise for the Thunderwolves, who led the league in RBI, were second in SLG, tied for second in home runs, and third in OBP.  The Legion could do little to counter other than take steals and challenge in OBP.  However, Kyle had a solid 4-1 lead before pitching.18Myers.jpg

Chris fared better here, but was unable to manage the win or draw.  Kyle suffered through nightmarish weeks from Zack Greinke and Jon Gray.  Chris easily won ERA and WHIP after these two implosions.  He also took strikeouts and threw 13 more innings pitched than Kyle.  However, the Thunderwolves tied for the league lead in saves thanks to Brandon Kintzler, Mark Melancon, and Tony Watson.  This left wins as the decisive category for the week.  Chris totaled four and needed to beat Kyle to earn the tie.  Unfortunately for Chris, neither Gerritt Cole or Kevin Gausman earned a victory on Saturday and Kyle escaped with a close win.  The loss is problematic for the Legion, who are now a game behind the league leaders.  The Thunderwolves are not at the top of the league, but the victory is a reminder that every team remains dangerous and competitive.

LK Armadillos (10-5-2) vs.  KG Capital City Goofballs (7-10)

18PedersonThe week’s second major upset came from the Goofballs.  After enduring multiple tough losses, Kevin was able to put it all together against the favored Armadillos.  Kevin dominated offensively, leading the league in OBP and SLG.  He tied for second in home runs and tired for third in RBI.  Eight Goofballs’ players had home runs, including four from Freddie Freeman.  Brian Dozier added three, and new acquisition Joc Pederson contributed two.  Larry had no offensive counters and lest his best player, Giancarlo Stanton, for the year.  The Armadillos put up a good steals total, but it was little help.

On pitching, Larry fared slightly better.  Steven Matz was dominant, striking out 17 in 13.1 innings pitched.  He allowed on two earned runs but did not record a win.  Needing to secure only a couple of categories, Kevin relied on slightly more innings pitched than Larry.  He led the league in strikeouts.  The two teams split wins and saves, and Kevin picked up WHIP.  Overall, it was a dominant win for the Goofballs, who continue to improve and show why they are a threat every week.  The Armadillos are now 1.5 game behind the leaders, and have several injured players.  They will need a more energetic performance in their next match-up.

JK Lannisters (11-5-1) vs.  CM Happy Hollidays (2-14-1)

The week’s final match paired the Lannisters with the Happy Hollidays.  The Lannisters are the only team to have never lost to the Hollidays, and this week was no exception.  Jeff enjoyed a solid week on both sides of the ball.  Corey Seager continued to show why he was a priority on draft day with another pair of home runs.  JD Martinez returned with a home run as well.  Jason Kipnis stayed red-hot with two steals and a home run.  Neil Walker had a good week for the Hollidays, but it wasn’t enough to earn a category win.

18Kipnis

On pitching, the Hollidays suffered several melt-downs.  Adam Wainwright was a disaster, and Mike Leake struggled.  Jacob deGrom, Jose Quintana, and Felix Hernandez were excellent for the Lannisters, and helped secure the full five-category sweep.  The Lannisters are now back in first place by a game, and own the tie-breaker over the second-place Legion.  The Armadillos and Possums are just 1.5 game back, though.  The hunt for the title is likely a four-team race at this point, after the PhoeGnomes loss.

Next Week

The most important match of the week features the Lannisters and Armadillos.  Both teams are dealing with injuries and Larry needs a win to secure first place.  The Lannisters can’t win the tie-breaker over the Armadillos, so this match is critical.  The Possums and Legion also meet in an epic battle.  Both teams are in almost must-win situations, but there is still some hope for the loser.  Still, the team that wins will keep pace with the Lannisters and Armadillos.  The Thunderwolves and Goofballs meet in a battle that will not impact the standings.  However, both teams are hot and are looking for a victory.  Finally, the PhoeGnomes will try to get back over 0.500 and claw back into the race against the fading Hollidays.

Week 17 Elo Ratings

Week 17 saw several lower-ranked teams gain ground.  The Legion took over first place after the Lannisters suffered a lost to he PhoeGnomes.The Goofballs and Thunderwolves also gained ground, while the Happy Hollidays sank further.
Elo1

Week 18 sees the Lannisters, Legion, and Armadillos as heavy favorites.  The most important match of the week, between the PhoeGnomes and Possums, is essentially a toss-up.

Elo2

Week 17 League Update

Possums Lose Steam; Legion and PhoeGnomes Edge Closer; Goofballs Win

Several close match-ups brought the standings at the top of the league to a near-tie.  The Possums, Lannisters, and Armadillos couldn’t win, so the PhoeGnomes, Legion, and Goofballs gained ground.

HP PhoeGnomes (8-8) vs.  JK Lannisters (11-4-1)

The most important match of the week featured the PhoeGnomes and Lannisters.  Heather was essentially in a must-win situation.  A loss would have dropped the PhoeGnomes below 0.500 after entering the season as a favorite.  Fortunately for her, the offense responded with just enough firepower to secure the victory.  Leading the way was Miguel Sano with three home runs.  Heather had high expectations for Sano entering the year, but a decline in power has been worrisome.  Sano addressed these concerns with a big week.  Ten different PhoeGnomes had home runs for the week, including two from Yosmani Tomas and Nolan Arenado.  The Lannisters had a good offensive week two, especially from Jason Kipnis.  However, they were only able to win steals and tie in RBI.Sano

Jeff started the week with good pitching, but experienced major meltdowns from Josh Tomlin and Carlos Estevez.  Heather struggled as well, but had slightly better production from her staff in the rate categories.  The injury to Wade Davis continues to plague the Lannisters, who lost saves by one.  Jeff won strikeouts and wins easily, but it wasn’t enough.  Heather managed a close victory that could have gone either way through Sunday.  The win keeps Heather’s hopes alive and also bolsters the contention of the Legion, Possums, and Armadillos.

CP Legion (9-4-3) vs.  LK Armadillos (10-4-2)

The second biggest benefactor of the PhoeGnomes win is the Legion.  After a close victory over the Armadillos, Chris P. is tied for first place.  Incredibly, Chris won the week despite not winning a single pitching category.  Neither the Armadillos nor the Legion had good pitching stats.  Both teams were near the bottom of the league in ERA and WHIP.  The Armadillos were marginally better in the rate stats, but Chris got two clutch wins for Jerad Eickhoff and Kyle Hendricks to tie the category.  The Armadillos picked up a win from Tanner Roark, but lost a close decision from Carlos Carrasco against the Yankees.  This gave Chris the single category tie he needed to win the week outright.

Villar

On offense, the Legion were solid.  They had the best OBP, second best SLG, and second best steals totals in the league.  Jake Lamb was the star for the week with three home runs.  Jonathan Villar contributed five steals, had an OBP of 0.613 and a SLG of 0.783.  Devon Travis and Miguel Cabrera were active as well.  The Armadillos couldn’t counter.  Ian Desmond was ice cold for the week.  Even players like Giancarlo Stantion, who hit two home runs, did little else.  He had just a 0.375 SLG.  Overall, Chris won all five categories and earned the close win.  The Armadillos had their chances, and could have won for the week if Billy Hamilton had been in the lineup Sunday.  His four steals would have turned the entire category and thus the final score.  Much like the Lannisters, who left Manny Machado on the bench with three home runs, the Armadillos are left to wonder what might have been.

RK Possums (9-6-1) vs.  KK Thunderwolves (4-10-2)

After a massive hot streak, Rick needed a victory to move closer to the league lead.  Unfortunately for the Possums, the Thunderwolves produced a hot week of their own.  Both teams were left with a disappointing draw.  The Thunderwolves had the league’s best pitching for the week.  They led the league in ERA and were second in strikeouts and WHIP.  Yu Darvish was excellent in his two starts, and Tyler Anderson and Gio Gonzalez were solid as well.  The Possums were okay on the mound, but starters like Masahiro Tanaka were inconsistent.  Ultimately, Rick was able to take both wins and saves, but Kyle seized the rate stats and strikeouts.

On offense, Rick continued his torrid pace.  He led the league in home runs and SLG and was second in steals and OBP.  Mike Napoli hit three home runs and Wilson Ramos added three of his own.  Ramos had a 1.053 SLG for the week, and even Rajai Davis added a homer of his own.  The Thunderwolves, however, were not going to be outdone by the Possums.  Ryan Braun and Jonathan Lucroy had three home runs each.  Brandon Phillips and Wil Myers each had two steals, giving Kyle the league lead.  Kyle was able to take both RBI and steals, but narrowly missed OBP and SLG.

The tied result is frustrating to the Possums, who gained only a half-game on the league leaders.  For the Thunderwolves, who had the second best offensive week and best pitching week, the loss is even more infuriating.  Kyle would have beaten every other team in the league.

CM Happy Hollidays (2-13-1) vs.  KG Capital City Goofballs (6-10)

The final match of the week paired the league’s two expansion teams.  Although both teams are largely playing for pride, the game represented a chance for the Goofballs to move closer to 0.500 and for the Hollidays to stay out of last place.  Kevin’s pitching was the standout effort from either team.  Chris Archer was strong, and Jake Odorizzi was spectacular in his one start.  The Goofball bullpen was especially effective.  Kevin’s relievers didn’t allow a run and recorded five saves.  The Holidays struggled.   Mike League was dreadful and Adam Wainwright suffered a bad two-start week.  However, Seung Hwan Oh recorded two saves.  This wasn’t enough, as Kevin swept all five categories.Darvish.jpg

On offense, both teams struggled.  However, the Hollidays took home runs with good weeks from Neil Walker and Jay Bruce.  Each had two home runs.  Four other Hollidays players had homers, and Chris M. easily took SLG.  The Goofballs were able to win both RBI and OBP.  They also took steals uncontested.  Ultimately, this was more than enough for the victory.  Kevin his now just a few games under 0.500 and firmly in the middle of the pack.  The Hollidays have more work to do, but this week was a valuable stepping stone.

Next Week

After weeks of brutal match-ups, the Lannisters hope they can catch a break against the Hollidays.  The Legion face the Thunderwolves.  Chris must be careful to avoid a loss, because although he is tied with the Lannisters, he can’t win the season tie-breaker.  He will need to win outright to take the title.  This means every win, loss, and tie is critical.  The Most interesting match of the week pairs the Possums and PhoeGnomes. The loser of this match will have a much tougher road to the title with only seven weeks left to play after this one.  Finally, the Goofballs play the Armadillos.  Kevin has given Larry trouble over the past two years and hopes to continue to be a spoiler.

Week 16 Elo Ratings

After crossing over 1,600 for the first time this year, the Lannisters took a large step back after losing to the Possums.  However, Jeff’s loss was Rick’s gain as he is now above 1,500 and in fourth placeElo1

Even though they tied, Larry and Chris P. lost ground to their weaker opponents.  Finally, Kevin moved back ahead of Kyle after his defeat of the PhoeGnomes.

Next week, The Lannisters are the biggest favorites, but most other matches are close.  The Legion/Armadillos match is almost a 50/50 split.

Elo2

Week 16 League Update

The second week after the All-Star Break saw many strange results.  The league led fell to the hot Possums, but none of the other contenders were able to gain any ground.  Some teams had offensive problems and others failed with pitching.  The standings barely changed, and many teams are left confused about where they stand.

JK Lannisters (11-3-1) vs.  RK Possums (8-6-1)

16PerezThe week’s big winner was the Possums.  Rick used a combination of power and effective pitching to earn a narrow 5-4-1 victory.  Rick easily led the league in home runs and SLG.  Khris Davis and Xander Bogaerts each has three homers.  The unknown Hernan Perez was signed as a free agent and hit two home runs and stole four bases.  However, other Possums were cold, like Ian Kinsler, who had a 0.192 OBP.  Jeff was able to take RBI and OBP thanks to big weeks from role players like Russell Martin and Brett Gardner.  This led to a 2-2-1 spilt for the teams.

On pitching, the Lannisters started the week well but had several implosions at the end.  Matt Shoemaker embarrassed himself over six innings.  Wade Davis suffered a meltdown and went on the DL.  Jonathan Papalbon allowed six base runners and three earned runs in 0.1 innings pitched for an 81.00 ERA.  Rick had better luck despite trouble from Masahiro Tanaka, A.J. Ramos, and Doug Fister.  The Possums were able to take three categories after the Lannisters’ ERA and WHIP ballooned over the weekend.  This was enough for a 5-4-1 win.  The Possums remained red-hot with the win.  They are now in fourth place and just two games behind the Lannisters with the tiebreaker.

LK Armadilos (10-4-1) vs.  KK Thunderwolves (4-10-1)

The Armadillos had a chance to move into first place with a win.  However, the Thunderwolves had other plans and eventually forced a tie that likely frustrated both teams.  Neither team performed well on offense.  The Armadillos had a sub-0.300 OBP.  The Thunderwolves barely broke 0.400 in SLG.  Rougned Odor was the only bright spot for the Armadillos.  He had three home runs and two steals.  Adrian Beltre and Mitch Moreland had two home runs each for Kyle, but Hanley Ramirez cooled off and had a 0.174 SLG.  The Armadillos took three categories.16Beltre

On pitching, each team was a little better.  Both had ERAs near the league average, and their WHIPs were also good.  Kyle had more saves thanks to a huge week from Alex Colome.  Jeurys Familia had two saves for the Armadillos, but he also allowed four earned runs.  Carlos Martinez was a disaster, allowed six earned runs and eight walks in 12 innings pitched.  However, he picked up one win, and gave Larry the category.  Both teams had roughly the same number of innings, and Kyle was slightly more effective at striking out batters.  This gave the Thunderwolves the third category and a tie.  Both teams had chances to get the outright win, and the tie must be frustrating.

KG Capital City Goofballs (5-10) vs.  HP PhoeGnomes (8-7)

The Goofballs earned a massive 9-1 victory over the PhoeGnomes.  Heather’s squad had abysmal offensive numbers that doomed the team for the week.  The squad had the lowest home run, RBI, OBP, and SLG in the league.  Only one PhoeGnome with more than 10 at-bats had a SLG above  0.390.  or an OBP over 0.280.  The Goofballs deployed a much better offensive core and led the league in steals.  They also had great weeks from Brian Dozier, whose SLG topped 1.075.  Kevin earned a five-category sweep before pitching.

16DozierHeather fared better here.  She had 11.1 more innings pitched than Kevin, and this translated to her only category win in strikeouts.  However, several PhoeGnome starters struggled, including Steven Wright and Jimmy Nelson.  Kevin took advange and had the lowest WHIP and ERA in the league.  He also took the other counting stats and cruised to a massive 9-1 win.  Heather lost a good opportunity to move up with a Lannister loss.

CM Happy Hollidays (2-13-0) vs.  CP Legion (9-4-2)

The Legion were also frustrated in their attempts to gain ground.  The Happy Hollidays posted the second best home run and SLG totals in the league.  Jay Bruce had four homers and seven RBI.  The Legion used a small base of players and had their own set of four homers from Miguel Cabrera.  Unfortunately, it wasn’t enough to win any category.  Chris P. did win steals, but it was his only offensive category and gave him a challenge on the pitching side.16Bruce

The Legion’s bullpen put together a good saves total, led by Roberto Osuna. The Legin’s starers were okay, but no one on the team picked up any wins.  The Hollidays had fewer innings thrown than the Legion, so Chris P. also took strikeouts.  Meanwhile, the Hollidays’ starters imploded.  Francisco Liriano allowed 11 earned runs in 8.1 innings pitched.  Mike Leake was alsmost as bad, giving up six with a 10.80 ERA.  The Hollidays had the worst ERA and WHIP in th e league by a wide margin.  This gave Chris the four categories he neede to earn the tie.  Instead the two teams suffered through a draw and neither gained ground on the leaders.

Next Week

Next week, more important battles take place.  The PhoeGnomes have another shot at the Lannisters, and need a win to get back in the hunt.  The Possums will try to continue to roll against the Thunderwolves.  The Happy Hollidays and Goofballs meet in a battle of expansion clubs.  Finally, the Legion and Armadillos renew their bitter feud.  Both teams really need a win here to keep pace.