Week ten saw more shifts in the Elo ratings. The Legion and Lannisters are not tied for first place overall. The Legion suffered a loss to a tough Armadillos team. Larry gained 11.2 points and is not within 20 points of the leaders. Jeff gained 8 points to tie Chris P..
The Goofballs and Possums also posted solid gains, with corresponding point losses for the Hollidays and Thunderwolves. Rick is moving close to 0.500, and Kevin is now in 6th place. Heather dropped below 1,500, but not by much. Her rating is now 1,497.
Looking ahead to next week, the Legion and Lannisters are massive favorites, with 72% win probabilities against the Thunderwolves and Hollidays respectively. These are the some of the highest ratings gaps we’ve see. Kevin is close behind – the Armadillos are 69% favorites. However, there is great opportunity for these lower ranked teams to gain more points if they can pull off the upset. The closest match of the week is between the Possums and PhoeGnomes. Heather is the 53/47% favorite, but Rick’s hot streak means he may have the edge. A win wouldn’t vault Rick over Heather, but it would put him within striking distance for fourth place.